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When Stephen Hawking said that "we" must get off Earth within 100 years or die, you do understand that he is referring to seeding a few humans on to other planets and that the rest of us will die, don't you?

dahermit 7 July 26
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I think he meant to emphasize the urgency of the task. It seems like a long time when the Sun will run out of fuel. Fuel keeps the process that holds it all together. Without, it will swell up large enough to engulf mother Earth and everything we know will be gone. The only hope for humanity to carry on longer than that is to migrate somewhere else. His strong argument was that this "planned vacation" will take a lot of effort and logistics to execute. It's a hard concept to fathom when we don't even think about our own mortality on daily basis. So, to answer your question, yes you are absolutely correct, when the process comes along, NOT everyone will go on board whatever the plan might be. Whoever stays behind was going to die anyway, obviously. Nice stuff to think about.

He was not referring to the sun running out of fuel...he was referring to the global warming process becoming self-perpetuating and turning our climate into something as hot as Venus within the next 100 years. Once the permafrost melts and gives up its methane, the process will likely take off without anymore human-caused input.

@dahermit that process I don't really know. Now, the Sun running out of juice, the writing is on the wall...

@IamNobody According to the scientists, we still have five billion years before the sun runs out of energy.[spaceplace.nasa.gov]

@dahermit correct and as far as it seems to be, it will happen.

@dahermit Enough time for a hell of a lot of other bad stuff to happen.

@Coffeo According to Hawking, we have less than 100 years. The world's permanent snow pack is rapidly shrinking which means more heat is absorbed because the White snow is not reflecting it back into space and the methane (another green-house gas) is being released from the melting permafrost. You are correct, among the "bad stuff to happen" is more and more impoverished people who may rebel against the corporate excesses and there could be massive revolutions against the oligarchs with disastrous results. No one can possible foretell the exact course of events, but it is notable that all previous historical democracies ended in failure and things are always in flux.

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I saw it as he wanted to up the chances for human survival, whether or not the people still on earth survive. The way we are destroying the planet, human survival is in question, and seeding other planets would increase the likelihood of human survival.

It would however start humans on each different planet down differing roads of evolution, and the meaning of "human" may change.

The problem is that without faster than light speed travel, there are no viable planets on which human life can exist. Terri-forming Mars is most likely a fantasy and the nearest solar system to ours is 10 light years away...80,000 + years at current rocket speeds. In sum, 100 years (Hawkins estimate) is not long enough to get humankind's act together (develop the technology) even if faster than light travel is even possible.

@dahermit We aren't that far apart. I agree it is unlikely to devlop the technologies in such a short time, but we did manage to land a man on the moon within ten years of hte challenge made by Kennedy, so i do tno think it would be impossible either. However, under the current world views it is unlikely that resources would be prioritized in a way that puts the goal within reach.

My point was that Hawkings was not really saying that the rest of the earth should be left to die. He ws just wayign if we want humans to survive (at all) we need to do something about it, because another mass extinction is very likely. That woudl be a mass extinction from natural causes. As it stands we have already started a mass extinction of species via man made causes (golobl climate changes).

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