Polls show anyone and everyone else beating Trump
[realclearpolitics.com]
General Election: Trump vs. Biden PPP Biden 53, Trump 41 Biden +12
General Election: Trump vs. Warren PPP Warren 48, Trump 42 Warren +6
General Election: Trump vs. Harris PPP Harris 48, Trump 41 Harris +7
General Election: Trump vs. O'Rourke PPP O'Rourke 47, Trump 41 O'Rourke +6
General Election: Trump vs. Sanders PPP Sanders 51, Trump 41 Sanders +10
General Election: Trump vs. Gillibrand PPP Gillibrand 47, Trump 42 Gillibrand +5
General Election: Trump vs. Booker PPP Booker 47, Trump 42 Booker +5
President Trump Job Approval Harvard-Harris Approve 45, Disapprove 55 Disapprove +10
President Trump Job Approval Emerson Approve 42, Disapprove 52 Disapprove +10
President Trump Job Approval The Hill/HarrisX Approve 44, Disapprove 56 Disapprove +12
President Trump Job Approval PPP Approve 40, Disapprove 57 Disapprove +17
President Trump Job Approval Rasmussen Reports Approve 44, Disapprove 56 Disapprove +12
Direction of Country Emerson Right Direction 35, Wrong Track 53 Wrong Track +18
Biden would not do any better in a general than Hillary did, but that's probably who all the superdelegates and Dem leaders want, very establishment and pro-corporate. Bernie or Warren tho, would actually win, but I doubt the party establishment would ever allow them the chance. I've seen this movie before, the Dems don't really want to win that bad....They'll try anything other than running a real progressive.
Their strategy consists of either trying to win a narrow victory with a white male establishment candidate or else hope for a wider victory by nominating an identity politics candidate that is a woman or minority, but still establishment, and hope the candidate's identity inspires enough tribal loyalty to win on that. When they have used up female and black candidates, they will probably move on to a gay Hispanic male candidate long before voters ever wake up to how they are being played with identity packaging of the same corrupt type of person.
None of them really excite me at this point for any reason except that they are not Trump. I think Bernie would have handily won in 2016, but in 2020 the board has changed. Warren reminds everyone of Clinton, except more stiff. I have no doubt Warren feels strongly about the working class and middle class, but she expresses it with academic anger that doesn't translate very well (strangely, she seemed a better communicator in that documentary "Maxed Out" from 2006 about credit cards, personal debt, etc.--that was the first time I took note of her).
...
Right now I'm thinking someone young, and bright, who is an extremely effective communicator, and who can rally younger voters and some significant fraction of those who don't vote. I don't see anyone matching that description right now.
I’m thinking Trump v Charlie Manson might be a close-ish matchup.
Come on, you guys. Can't you just let me have this moment to feel good about something? lol
Nevertheless, all the polls had Hillary beating Trump, and look what happened.
Hillary won the popular vote by almost 3 million votes.
If I remember correctly, they gave Trump a 30% chance of winning, and Hillary a 70% chance. That's not the kind of analysis that says she will definitely win. If he puts in 3 lottery tickets and she puts in 7 lottery tickets, picking his out at random shouldn't be completely surprising, just less likely.
@LimitedLight Someone went back in time to hunt a dinosaur that would have died anyway, stepped off the path and crushed a butterfly. When they returned, Trump was president. It's the only explanation.
Interesting numbers within the poll. "Worst president in 40 years" is off the scale.
[publicpolicypolling.com]