Why Donald J Trump will win in 2020.
his base is primarily made of one issue voters.
his base is very loyal and regardless of his I will follow him to the ends of the Earth.
although the one issue voter really only cares about one issue.
they will except the rest all of the Republican / Trump agenda if it means that one issue secure.
here is a list of single issues that will carry the Republican agenda in no particular order.
1:gun rights( take my gun out of my cold dead hand)
2: religious right( Trump should end every speech with God Bless the USA)
3: nationalist( America First right or wrong)
4: right to life( the Democrats just want to kill babies)
5: xenophobe( keep those immigrants out of this country all they want is welfare)
each one of the single voter groups by themselves as insignificant
in aggregate adds up to about 40 voting population.
presidents typically get too much praise when the economy is good and too much blame when the economy is bad .Trump will claim victory over the economy this is hard to refute. this will add about 5% to Trump's base.
the Democratic agenda for the past 2 years has essentially been anti Trump all the time. therefore they have some catching up to do.
Social Democratic wing of the Democratic Party, has created an opportunity for the Republicans; this I will call the Red Scare
( Khrushchev said We will bury you) this will no doubt add to Trump's base.
due to the Relentless attacks by democrats Trump may be able to obtain a victim status, this may not resonate well with these base unless is perceived to be fighting back,( it's us against them).
the only Democrat that is a perceivable threat to the re-election of Donald Trump is former Vice President Biden. he will have to find
a way to unite Democrats and reduce the Red Scare Factor.
this will be especially difficult Biden will have to run on the Obama economy. which may be difficult.
due to the high degree of polymerization we will expect a high turnout and a spirited campaign