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I’m assuming that these predictions are for just USA and not all of North America.

But do you really think it will happen that quick and that soon?

WeaZ 7 Oct 25
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We can but hope

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Seems reasonable.

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If these trends predictions prove accurate, expect the evangelicals to become much more aggressive and unethical in their actions, as they will feel threatened.

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This seems to correlate with reports I’ve heard in the news.

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With the numbers that this Cattus has looked at, from Pew Research Center, the US Census, etc and assorted, non-religious affiliation hovering about the 22% mark feels fairly accurate right now.

Agreed with Seeker3CO, the 'straight line'-ness makes it look like there has been a steady surge of non-religious thinking since 1980 and will continue well into next decade at the same rate... I don't know about that.

One thing is for sure, though, with the advent of global social communications and technology, there is more opportunity to dispel mythology to a broader audience; while religiousity flourishes under the same conditions, it also has less place to hide now.

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I think it may have already happened. Less than 50% of Americans go to church or temple. How many of those who don't are non-religious but are still being counted by the religions they left?

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What is the source of the data, what is the demographic of the data, what data collection method was used, what size sample was used?

To be able to analyse this data efficiently those aspects must be taken into account.

Do you have a link to the original study that produced these results.

@WeaZ just had a quick glance and it looks pretty sound, albeit the author does acknowledge that these results are not inclusive of independent variables which cannot be known at the commencing point of the projection.

This source is GSS which is a reliable, US government method using appropriate data collection apparatus.

Personally I would have no problem referring to this study, on the proviso that the independent variables are acknowledged

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