BUTTIGIEG JOINS THE TOP TIER IN IOWA [cnn.com]
South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg joined the leaders of the Democratic race for president in Iowa, up 14 percentage points since August, according to a new Monmouth University poll of likely caucusgoers out Tuesday.
However, irrespective of supporters' euphoria for their candidates, the truth is that Buttiigieg and Bernie cannot elected in the general election in 2020. This is just the enthusiasm in the progressives' primaries.
We’re starving for a competent, electable ..not-too-young / not-too-old moderate. And have yet to find one
That is very true. That is why the enthusiasm among Democrats in general is low. It is high only among the Bernie supporters but it is limited to North East and among Whites and young. Bernie does very poorly among black Americans.
@CharlatanUK My take is: between the superior talents of both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in 08, and the length of time it took them to establish a leader … and how Obama allowed HRC to build her world experience & credentials within his administration … and how patient and cool she was about not ‘Burnnie him’ in 12, but allowing him to run unopposed - because there was obviously no one in either party capable of beating him … by the time it was HRC’s turn, all but one far left and too right candidates challenged her. She had become the most experienced Presidential candidate in US history.. Thus assumed to be a ‘shoe in’ ...so too many dipshits sat it out, cuz they didn’t get their preferred flavor
I don’t remember Eisenhower ..though have been around since him.. I’d say candidates like JFK, William Jefferson Clinton, and Barack Obama are not prevalent enough to be present for every election cycle. Look at the R’s -- look at that class of clowns trump emerged from; that’s the best that party can do?!
Our Presidency has been so damaged by this current occupant ..that apparently anyone feels they can do a better job. Though I, nor the nation is feeling anyone with the charisma of the aforementioned D’s… But that doesn't mean any one of them wouldn’t make a decent President.. ..especially in comparison to ..the steaming pile in there now
@CharlatanUK Any more, I try to avoid ‘Lefties.’ Stood in light drizzle to hear Bill Clinton speak during the previous primaries (16). Overflow crowd, but what magnificent company - those were my people! With one of my daughters, we got to know a retired police officer and his still teaching wife; America’s best, and solid on every subject.
Even recall how polite our line was toward the ‘my daughter’s age’ college contingent of aggressive girls arrogantly attempting to have us sign some petition for ‘Bernie.’ But the experience left me knowing who and how the best of this nation think (Washington & Oregon attendants).
I liked Kerry, enough so to help (in a big way) “Carry Oregon” - which we did.. Too much the Statesman to sink to the fight that was thrust upon him from the ever-increasingly desperate R’s, though. The world’s loss..
Biden’s not been my choice ..since I voted in a primary for him so long ago I can’t remember, either. Bernard will fade, as he should. Keeping my eye on Warren (in contact with her crew in VA); she’s the smarts to use whatever gets her elected ..and the practicality to compromise when she hits a wall - I think..
Running against either trump or Pence should provide a Democratic Presidential victory … but we need that Senate ..and solid House control to begin to undo the damage of the worst mistake in our nation’s history. I agree, his damage is irreparable - who could ever trust ‘US’ again… But the coat-tail effect necessary to sweep the Senate appears dependent on the charisma of a talented candidate ..I’ve yet to see ~
IMO, Pete is the alternate for Biden. Both centrists. They are the safe corporate choice. UGH.
It would not hurt my feelings if both went down.
That is your opinion which you have expressed many times without any numbers behind them.
Do you know who had very strong numbers until the New Hampshire primary in 2000? Ex Vermont Governor Dr. Howard Dean. Numbers do not mean much. I have the ears to the ground.
@Mofo1953
Why is it so hard to accept that Bernie is sliding? Bernie failed squarely in 2016 after all the hype and now the supporters blamed all else in the world for his failure. A win is a win, a loss is a loss. There is not reasoning and justifying the loss later on. Politics is like a war.
@St-Sinner did I say anything regarding Bernie or anybody else? Dude, learn how to R E A D, and by the way, Bernie was not a candidate in 2016, it was Hillary. My whole point is I believe in evidence, what is evidence? Facts. You are expressing opinions, entitled to but not if you confuse them as facts. Opinions are not facts. The polls back then and now indicated Bernie was preferred over trump much more than Hillary was, and he would not have lost Michigan or Wisconsin or Pennsylvania, but since we can't go back in time, current polls don't back up your opinion, all candidates beat trump, and none of the candidates now perhaps with the exception of Biden, have the negatives Hillary had among the people that count. Now don't waste my time anymore with your conservative crap.
@St-Sinner man you are just obtuse or can't read, let me repeat what I said above:
A. I never said anything in my first post about bernie
B. Nor have I contested the poll numbers you presented
C. My comment was to your OPINION that MAJOR PETE AND BERNIE ARE NOT ELECTABLE. This is an opinion from your part not based on numbers or facts, . Now don't bother me anymore already.
"the truth is that Buttiigieg and Bernie cannot elected in the general election in 2020"
Hmmmmm Did they not say the very same thing about Trump?
Personally I don't care whom they select to run, my vote is #NotTrump, and a LOT of people tare thinking that way.
I knew that Trump would be elected because I was sure that Hillary was a huge turn off to many independents, undecideds and Democrats. I attended many televised debates of Hillary and Trump and a few rallies of Hillary. The enthusiasm was pumped up, it was not real and on the ground. I had the same feeling about Al Gore in 2000.
It is not a rocket science to understand why Bernie and Buttigieg cannot be elected. America is not ready to elect a candidate with these demographics.
We don't like it? Too bad but that is how it works. Tell me which candidate like Bernie or Buttigieg was elected in the last 40 years for president. Name any. In our euphoria, we often deny the facts on the ground.
@St-SinnerI understand what your alluding too but that does not make it set in stone. I also agree that if the dems swing that far left, a lot of indies and gop will either stay home or turn out.
I don't think a lot of that is going to matter in 2020.
I think the next year of BS, of endless tweets, of the eternal next scandal, is going to wear out all but his staunchest support (about 30%), even as that happens every tweet is angering moderates and the left, and his branding of the moderate as the left, disgracefully treating vets, and then wanting credit for what they accomplished despite him. All that either wears folks out or heats them up.
I think in the end what most people will care about is changing the channel,
#NotTrump
I think another thing we gage poorly is the youth effect this cycle. Watching the youth movements the last couple of years reminds me of my childhood in the 60's, where kids became political and often activist in HS, and then VOTED once of age, instead of ignoring politics. I do not think we have a good notion of how that will pan out.
@Davesnothere
I am just telling you how it is now. Anything can change within a year.
However, I stand by my opinion that Bernie or Buttigieg will not be president.
@St-Sinner With the working class hurting economically as they are and Bernie's policies being as popular as they are, whatever hangups people have about him will mostly fade away when they realize that he is the one candidate who has been relentlessly fighting for them for the entirety of his long career.
@RoboGraham
Senior Democrat Rahm Emanuelle who engineered the Democrats' 2006 take over of the House has a warning for Democrats in 2020... "Don't sell pies in the sky. It won't work. We are making the same mistake as we did in 2016."
@St-Sinner What? Our mistake in 2016 was allowing a corproratist warmonger to take the nomination from the candidate who actually had popular policy positions and a large energetic following in the working class.
@RoboGraham Pies in the sky will wreck your/ our brand.. Had Bernard been elected in 16 - only the Supreme Court would have been changed … and not that different from who HRC would have nominated. With Bernard, a one-term Democratic let-down … the R’s would now be poised for eight presidential years - with a solid majority in both Houses to back them up..
@Varn You think that popular policies that help the working class and reduce wealth inequality will hurt the democratic brand? We are supposed to be pro-working class, we are the party of the New Deal. The problem is that we have hurt our brand by attempting to imitate the republican's neoliberal brand.
Not sure where you come up with the assumption that Sander's would be a do nothing president who would be a let down. He is the one leader advocating for systemic change.
@RoboGraham The winners set the rules, no matter how they won. We are playing catch up, to a populous who understands far less than we
Sander’s would/ could advocate himself to death.. Had he made it to the White House, Congress would have remained in Republican hands. Nothing would have been passed ..no matter how much he advocated… Worse, assuming politics was a worthless venture, the millions of youth he’d cultivated would ..wither.
@Varn If he had been running rather than Clinton, he would have energized the people. Democrats would have been in a better position in Congress because they would have won more elections due to him influencing a higher voter turn out.
But maybe your right, maybe it would have been a guy with bold ideas ahead of their time and an establishment that would have dug in it's heels and allowed nothing. Maybe it's better that he get it this time around when people are turned off by Trump's corruption and there is much more energy in the democratic party. With the way that the dems have been winning off year elections and judging by how they did in the midterms, this could be the cycle that a true progressive gets in there with a cooperative Congress behind him.
@RoboGraham The R’s sure wanted to run against Sanders in 16, I was told the ‘honeymoon in Moscow’ ads were nearing completion.. He remains ahead of this nation, for sure. I know a lot of Democrats that would have voted for him had HRC not made it … too bad I’ve met so many who didn't vote for her when he didn’t...
Yes, the R’s in Congress would have dug in their heels, as they did with Obama. And it’s tragic how this corrupt ‘presidency’ has taught everyone the need to vote, what a price.. I’m in Virginia, and though the Democrats have barely taken the majority in our state legislature … there’s still a thick sick red swath, just like our nation in general. I’m in the thick of that shit, and know what it would/ will take to wake these dipshits up… Some maintain roadside shrines to trump!
Like I’ve said, I’ll vote D, no matter who or what … but there’s those vacillating idiots in the middle who, if they vote at all, want either the entertainment value of a ‘trump,’ or the moderate leadership of ..a moderate. Too far left ..and they’re reminded of when they had to pay union dues (but made three times as much). It’s a well orchestrated mess. Hey - the open hearings are about to commence!
@RoboGraham
There are some serious problems with Bernie. It should not be too hard to understand.
His supporters are living in a la la land. It is time to wake up and small the coffee.
@Varn
Bernie supporters often argue if Bernie was nominated in 2016....
Here are higher possibilities of would have happened:
Bernie is not even a Democrat. He should not be allowed to hijack the Democratic Party platform to seek the White House.We have plenty of good candidates in the wider Democratic Party. We do not need a candidate who does harm to the party with crazy, outlandish socialist policies and brand the entire party as socialist. The damage is already done. The DNC must change the rules.
@St-Sinner 1) You are correct that those ingredients are necessary for a revolution to take place. Thing is, Bernie is not calling for that sort of revolution. He is creating a political revolution. Have you heard of the Regan Revolution? Was the society desperate and angry then? A political revolution is just a big shift in policy, a change in ideological direction, not a violent take over. He want to make systemic change and there is enough discontent with the current system for that to occur.
He is not attempting to destroy the rich and give everything out for free. He is not a communist. What he is attempting to implement is called social democracy and it very possible. It is in place and thriving in many major European countries.
He is the right messenger, that's why he has the largest number of individual donors and is beating all the others in grass roots organizing. He is the only candidate who has been consistently fighting for the working class for a very long and distinguished career.
He will get things done by harnessing the discontent of the working class. People who can't make ends meet, people who can't afford healthcare, people drowning in debt, people pissed off that the banks and corporations got a bailout but they did not, people who want the minimum wage increased, people who want increased family leave, people who want universal preschool because day care is so expensive, people who want rent controls... Bernie will fight to get this stuff passed by going into the states and districts of Senators and Representatives who are holding out and holding rallies. When they see that the President is calling them out in their own districts and their own constituents are going to his rallies, they will get with the program. As for his lack of accomplishments, He has been an independent for the vast majority of his career and in this country, it's hard to get anything done if you don't have a party behind you, however, he has succeeded in moving the democratic party to the left. Many candidates are now championing his policies. Medicare for All, student debt relief, legalizing marijuana, ending foreign wars and reducing the military industrial complex... There are loads of things that Bernie has going on about for decades that are no in the mainstream.
People said we wouldn't elect a black president and then Obama came along. He isn't much older than Trump and is the same age as Biden. People said we wouldn't elect a play boy game show host until Trump. How can that clown be representing us on the world stage? But he is. He isn't absent minded, he is very sharp and he has the perfect personality for what needs to be done. He is a no nonsense guy who some see as angry and mean but he has a great deal of compassion. That's why he has been fighting for the downtrodden all his life.
What does Buttigeig stand for... I mean, what are his policies?
Please tell me, because absolutely NO one seems to know.
He has talked so well and laid out thoughtfully how his plans will work. His website has posted detailed policies on almost every issue and the policies are better than others. If you read these two in detail on his website, you will realize how powerfully he has laid it out. It is the quality, not the quantity that tells you about the leadership's worldview of things.
I admire how he is well put together but know he will not be elected.
His policies are to be the darling of the corporate media, keep the status quo so that the rich can continue to profit and the poor can work harder to make ends meet, and make sure that an actual single payer universal healthcare system never gets implemented so the insurance companies can continue to fuck us and the politicians who have been bought by them can continue to get paid.
@RoboGraham We are no really debating the candidates' policies. I was pointing out who is doing better in polls and rankings. Buttigieg is rising and Biden and Bernie are falling.
@St-Sinner But we are discussing his policies. This thread started when Athena asked "What does Buttigeig stand for... I mean, what are his policies?" You gave a lackluster answer to that question and then I told you what he is really all about. Why do you not want to debate his policies? Could it be that his platform is weak compared to actually good candidates like Sanders and Warren?
I mean you created a post about how Buttigieg is doing well, I would think that, if you truly believe in him, you would jump at any opportunity to spread the word about his great policy proposals. You know a candidate is weak when his supporters try to change the subject when we start talking policy.
@RoboGraham
The post is about how candidates are faring. Athena asked what he stands for. I pointed her to two policies. The focus is however on how the candidates are doing. The news said Buttigieg is rising and Biden and Bernie are behind him.
@St-Sinner Alright let's focus on how they are faring. You are referencing a single poll. Let's look at the average of polls in Iowa. The top tier candidates are Warren- 20% Butteigeig- 19.7% Biden- 17% Sanders- 16.3%. Things look a bit different when you look at the whole picture.
@RoboGraham
Ok, does not that still tell you Buttigieg is rising from 1% to 5% from 3 months ago and Biden and Bernie are sliding from strong top positions they held? Strong candidates do not slide.
Bernie is not sliding. That's purely delusional. It depends what polls you're looking at and you have an anti Bernie bias, so your confirmation bias thrusts you into the bullshit of fake news and establishment media.
Bernie has raised millions of small donor money. Who is donating? No one?
He broke a record for most attendees in one of his rallies. CNN is not a reliable source for news and neither is MSNBC. All establishment media. All the same people who had Hillary "creaming" Trump in 2016.
Hilarious.
@Athena Bernie supporters are still in denial that he lost squarely in 2016. The same thing is going on here. When one poll shows he is sliding, you take refuge in another to show is staying. Avoiding the inconvenient truth in 2016 and avoiding it now. I do not how many signs we need to understand that Bernie is struggling at best and not winning. A winner does not have the symptoms that Bernie has. There is no doubt that there is a high passion and enthusiasm among Bernie's supporters. But it is just that. It is among Bernie's supporters, not beyond.
If these symptoms are not enough, you will see more in the coming days. But if you in denial, you will whine in 2021 and forever, just like we are still doing it about 2016. Bernie did not get nominated because of everybody else in the world, it is never him. Is it?
Bernie will not be president.
Bernie lost squarely in 2016?
Now I know you're delusional.
Trump was caught on tape in private expressing his concern about going up against Bernie. As stupid as Trump is, he knows it would hard to go up against someone who is truly FOR the people... which is what Trump ran on, deceptively. Bernie is the actual antiestablishment candidate. His ideas which were ridiculed by many within the establishment are now populist and mainstream within the establishment. He completely shifted the Overton window.
And regarding Pete, he's running on empty platitudes and establishment brown-nosing.
@St-Sinner Biden started out on top because of name recognition and his association with Obama. He is falling because he is not a good candidate and the more exposure he gets, the people realize it. Sanders' support has fallen because Warren is putting forward a very similar platform but people feel more comfortable with her because she doesn't call herself socialist. Buttigeig is raising because the media is continuously putting out headlines that say that he is climbing and this they are propping him up.
One thing to note is that the most underrepresented group in polls is young people and they overwhelmingly support Bernie.
@Athena Glad to see that there is someone here who can see which candidate actually represents the people and will stand up for our interests in opposition to wall street.
@RoboGraham
Correct. You passed.
St-Sinner, you just hate Bernie. You called him a "hunchback Jew" in response to another post and take all opportunities to disparage him.
You also said that Donald Trump is a good looking man. I think you believe the Presidency is a looks competition and not policy based. You purport to be an expert on all of these polls and candidates and all your reports are just opportunities to mention how "Bernie is failing."
Maybe you just don't like "hunchback Jews"?
By the way, Trump is good looking??
@Athena Well that's an accurate assessment. St-sinner is concerned with the superficial things like having a perfectly straight spine and a good haircut. If the presidency was a looks contest, Tulsi Gabbard is the winner by leaps and bounds. She has decent policy as well.
The other thing about @St-Sinner is that he won't commit to anyone. He put this post up to show how Bernie is falling and clearly he is in favor of Buttigeig but he plays it safe by saying "I admire how he is well put together but know he will not be elected." He starts to defend his policies but then says that he is just reporting on the polls. Come on dude, if you are going to start this conversation, tell us who you support and why. Don't just shit on our guy and step back into the safety of neutrality. Grow a pair.
@Athena
You are mis-characterizing what I said. I never used the word "Hunchback Jew". Both are facts. He is Jewish. Isn't he? He looks hunchback (and old), does he not? Please try to point to any post or comment I made where I have said a "Hunchback Jew", else look in the mirror and apologize to yourself to make yourself a better person.
This is what I said. Everything below is discussed on various articles, polls and all over the media. It is not rocket science to understand why Bernie is failing again:
There are some serious problems with Bernie. It should not be too hard to understand.
I will ad this:
9. Bernie should not be allowed to hijack the Democratic platform to seek the highest office of the land. He has not been a Democrat, always has been an independent and he should run as an independent. We have plenty of good Democrat candidates who can do better than him. He has done serious damage to the party's image by painting it as an extreme left socialist party. The opponents have successfully labeled the Democratic party as socialist and extreme left wing. We are not an extreme left wing or a socialist party. We are a party of great leaders in the history who have been able to bring both aisles together to get things done in Washington, not polarize people extremely like Bernie has done twice. Voters told him once loud and clear to get out but apparently he has not listened. He is failing again. I do not know what other signals he needs to drop out and not run ever again. Bernie is not a Democrat and we are not like Bernie.
Please join the fight to cleanse the Democratic Party of these loose, lunatic extremists for good.
@RoboGraham, @Athena
About Trump looking good.
As much as we don't like him, there is no denying that Trump has been a handsome man from the start. Look at his photos from his young college days to now, count the number of women throwing them at his feet and the way he has charmed people in business and personal life.
Trump is not a good man. I agree but you cannot deny facts because you hate a man.
@RoboGraham
When I am reporting, I don't have to support any one. I support Warren's intelligence, Trump's resolve, Buttigieg's articulation and thoughtfulness, Bernie's compassion, but I have to accept the facts on the ground. Buttigieg, Bernie and Biden - none is electable. Trump is very electable. A sad fact.
This is a waste of time. I kNOW what you said and your bias shows a load of misinformation and subjective opinion.
You also like Pete, which shows you're gullible and not interested in anything substantive.
I'm ready to drop it. We've been through this before and I don't take you seriously on this subject.
@St-Sinner Trump is not, and never has been attractive to me. But I guess beauty is in the eye of the beholder.
@itsmedammit
That is understandable. It is an individual choice. Calling Trump handsome is not my individual choice. He has been described as rich, successful and handsome throughout his life all over the media and Trump has successfully capitalized on his gifts.
Julia Roberts (Pretty Woman) has been described as beautiful by the media and many, but I find her not to be attractive or appealing in any way, especially, her too wide smile. It's weird.
@St-Sinner Yeah I'd say Trump was once a handsome guy. I think the women he attracted were more interested in his money though.
@RoboGraham That is mostly true but handsomeness added to money is a powerful combination. His marriages and affairs were certainly not like Aristotle Onasis and Jackie Kennedy's.
Buttigieg is IMO a sociopath, like Trump.
Really? How?
@St-Sinner "Members of Black Lives Matter, who met privately with Buttigieg in the weeks after the shooting, say the 37-year-old Democratic mayor brushed off their concerns about police violence in the city he has led since 2012." -- [cnbc.com]
To me this incident shows lack of empathy, which is a sociopathic trait.
@EdEarl First, whatever we are "hearing" is secondhand, double or triple hearsay.
Second, the members of BLM are pissed, rightfully so. Any action other than arrest and conviction of police is not an adequate result ofr BLM, again rightfully so.
Third, BLM seems to either be unaware or unconcerned by the law itself concerning police shootings. Laws which protect the police far too much, Laws which would also bind a city mayor from such an action.
he could fire the chief or something.
Pretty quick to leap to Sociopathy and compare to Trump.
I think this was his response to the tounge lashing he got from BLM.
Personally I don't care whom they select to run, my vote is #NotTrump, and a LOT of people tare thinking that way.
I'm no fan of Buttigieg but to claim he is a sociopath because he didn't seem to show enough empathy over some police violence is a stretch. He could just be a selfish asshole who cares more about his own rise to power than the people he is governing like the rest of the democratic centrists.
@RoboGraham It's not a binary scale, i.e., you are or not. Some are more and some are less.
There are other indicators, power seeking, and taking money from lobbyists. The PAC money rules him out as a good candidate, all by itself. However, would vote for him vs Trump.
@EdEarl Yeah I would prefer him over trump but I'd still have a hard time voting for him.
@RoboGraham Agree
I like the way Buttigieg always sounds cool and collected.
As refreshing as that is ...I’m not feeling his passion.. It seems we want to ‘reward’ someone with the presidency, not appoint a bureaucratic automaton He’ll get my vote if he makes the cut, but damn ..sure wish there were a clear-cut choice, this time.
@Varn
Just watch and enjoy some of his qualities... articulation, thoughtfulness, communication, depth of issues at a young age, entering as a young mayor and rising to the top tier in 5 months. He puts Bernie and Biden (both in late 70s and 40 years careers in Washington) to shame. We all know that he is not just going to be elected but he is un-electable.
@St-Sinner And he is un-electable because?
@itsmedammit
As much as we do not like, don't want to accept it Bernie and Buttigieg cannot be elected. America is not ready to elect a candidate with these demographics.
@St-Sinner, @Varn I mostly appreciate that he chooses to not be inflammatory or hyper emotional, though I realize those are the very things that get people elected.
I'm not really strong on anyone yet. There are a few I would prefer to not get the nomination.
Not sure what your comment about rewarding meant.
@itsmedammit American’s want to reward a winner, to celebrate! ..his low key attitude & well-reasoned responses will not give them (Americans) what they want - Drama
@St-Sinner The people who won't vote for a gay are Republicans, wouldn't be voting for him anyway.
@itsmedammit It is a misconception. You excluding a large number of moderates, independents and Democrats. There are Republicans who have voted for Obama. These demographics matter in Presidential elections because we are asking for a mandate from the whole electorate. Running for Governor or Senate and Congressional district of progressive voters by gay or lesbian can be successful but not for president, not at least for another 20 to 30 years.
@St-Sinner Your opinion and of course you are entitled to it.
@itsmedammit Not just my opinion. There are Wall Street, New York Times and Politico polls say prove this fact.