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Can the number of "Nones" be slowing? I am not sure that the analysis is right here.
[friendlyatheist.patheos.com]

SageDave 7 Feb 16
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15 comments

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0

Surface styles come and go but the human tendency toward religious behavior, inside or outside of an organizational structure, is evolutionarily driven, and is unlikely to change much in the long haul. The idea that we can make it go away by barking at it, is... in addition to being somewhat doglike, very unscientific.
Religion: what science makes us do.
🙂

skado Level 9 Feb 17, 2020
1

When groups become groups their growth will begin to slow once they are well known as everone is not interested in joining. So the rate of new people will reduce while the percentage may not be affected or may increase.

Think of it as the Americans do tax cuts. There is usually no tax cuts that actually happen. The other party simply cuts the percentage of taxes that will be taxed. More money comes in and both parties say they cut taxes while getting more.

Nones are not slowing the world is simply becoming aware that there are nones. As that hroup grows it will slow in garnering members but not necessarily the percentage of growth.

0

Religiosity fluctuates between generations, so it wouldn't be surprising if GenZ swings back to being somewhat more religious. In the very long term, we can worry about very religious groups that try to exclude the outside world, like the Amish, becoming a bigger part of the population due to their high birth rate.

0

Seems our revolution to take a over the world has stalled!

1

Is the pollster actually independent or paid to achieve certain result? As the population increases does not the number of both religious and nones increase? Sorry, dyslexia ruined my math abilities!

2

When there are 5 people in a group, and one more joins, the recruitment rate is 20%. Wow!
When there are 10 people and one joins the recruitment rate is still a respectable 10%
Now the group compromises 43 people (per 100 in the population), so one more joining means a 2.5% joining rate.
Couple that with a dwindling supply of potential converts (only 57 per hundred) and obviously any graphs based on percentages will show a slowdown.
However, try inverting the graph. What is the rate of decline in religious groups.
It is accellerating, because it follows the same graph, but upside down. It all depends on one's point of view, my friends.

I agree, except that one-twentieth is 5%. Ooopsy! 🙂

@Gareth Oops indeed! The 1 and the 2 are too close together on the phone keyboard for my fat fingers. I have corrected the error. 😝😝🤣

2

The one data point is above 7 of the 12 millenial data points.
Also, it's the rate of growth that is claimed to be slowing, not that there is no growth. That's pretty much inevitable once the market is near-saturated.

2

I heard that the number of nones are on the rise, religion decreasing, and inteligence is .on the rise.I read that in Freethought Today, I read where the pecentage of nones are more than it was years ago, It;s increasing, Hurray for inteligence.

2

Polls are misleading. It depends a lot on beliefs of who conducted them. With that said it might be possible that people in our times of uncertainty are hedging a little towards wanting to believe. We have no answers and it makes many people feel safer.

0

I concur with the other opinions, there are too many variables in polling data collection, sample size, and that Gen Z are still forming their world view - and will over their lifetime.

2

I am kind of surprised to see this article. I just read Hemant Mehta's speech from the FFRF Convention where he won the "Nothing Fails Like Prayer" award and he pointed out some good trends that are happening in politics that would have never happened even just a few years ago.

6

Polls are increasingly misleading, as we found out the last Presidential election cycle.

When I was young, the phone didn't ring every ten minutes with telemarketers and anonymous wrong numbers, so we tended to answer it when someone like the Gallup Poll called. Now, people screen their calls. As a result of this type of behavior, I haven't taken part in any random poll in over 20 years. Does anyone answer their phone anymore?

I tend to doubt any survey results these days, especially when one extrapolates 6900 responses and pretends that speaks for an entire nation.

2

Generation Z is the 25 and under group. Many young people are indoctrinated as children and then become Nones or atheists as they mature. I don't believe the trend has changed.

2

All that means is that people believe that it's no-one's business but theirs when it comes to religion/non-religion.

2

the time span is not sufficient to establish a trend.

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