I think I've figured out Trump's entire election strategy.
If the early voting by midnight on Nov. 3 seems to favor him, he'll try to declare himself the winner and sue to stop the counting of any absentee ballots. On the other hand, a landslide against him on election night will be "a rigged election" and he'll sue for a recount. Either way he'll try to throw it into the courts, obfuscate and delay the outcome if it looks to go against him, and most importantly try to rile up his base against the process, just as the Bush 2000 campaign sent manufactured mobs of campaign staffers to besiege the Dade County Commissioners demanding that they end the recount and declare a winner.
Trump (and his Congressional lackeys) swore an oath to support and defend the Constitution. There are few more important elements of that document than the election of our representatives, especially the President. Trying to cast doubt on the validity of the ballot is one of the most fundamental assaults on our democracy.
It's obvious that Trump is taking a page from his good friends Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Tayyip Erdogan, and Kim Jong Un. He doesn't want to be the elected president of the United States, he wants to be an unchallenged, autocratic ruler, unconstrained by laws and elections, unaccountable to the opposition party, the media or the public, free to enrich himself and his family from the public purse, a dictator for life.
The best way to put an end to his fantasy is by a definitive popular and electoral defeat on November 3. He may not accept it, but the vast majority of Americans who still believe in the rule of law will leave him no choice.
The plans at the WH and within his Admischolars. are much more insidious and complicated than you've outlined above. It does involve the courts and the state governors. According to the Constitution, contested elections have a number of layers for resolving.
Begin by tying the election results up in court on various trumped (pun intended) charges. Then on January 6th, electoral votes are officially tallied and verified. According to the Constitution, state governments have the right to disregard the popular vote and as a representative of the people (in name only) governors can specify that all electoral votes will be given to a favored candidate (again regardless of the popular vote outcome) This means that all red states and purple states with Republican Governors could just declare all their electoral votes go to Trump.
If this is contested in court, which it will be. It then goes to the House of Representatives where each state is given one vote as specified by the governor of that state. There are 27 Republican governors and 33 Democratic governors. Trump wins again. Tails you lose, heads he wins.
It is a little known rule, but Republicans have already begun laying the ground work to put this in action. At least according to some Constititional svholars.
I agree with all of that. I also have no faith that the Dems will fight any harder against his post election efforts to steal the election than they did in 2000. And the SC will rule in Trump's favor the same way they did for W. then.