I'm thinking it's going to boil down to the 6 electoral votes of Nevada. What do you think?Check out the NPR link based on AP information. See the line-item stats below the map. Currently only 0.2% apart in GA so might need a re-count there, but with Nev having only 76% 'in,' it may be them that determines the race!
(caveat: service members votes may be allowed to be forthcoming, depending on each state's rules, not to mention re-counts done, challenges, etc.) Re: challenges: You KNOW each state's officials and their employees are being as careful as they can be. Nobody wants to be 'Flori-duh.'
Pennsylvania, the last I checked, had some 880,000 ballots outstanding. The absentee ballot has been going 80% Biden's way. By my math, if that holds up, the final tally would put Biden up by about 80,000.
Nevada may be where he hits 270, but PA would be the clincher; too decisive to argue over a number like that.
@Wisterious New York Times has detailed state by state tallies. They also have not yet called Arizona. [nytimes.com] This is the link to their Nevada page, from there you can find links to the rest at the bottom of the page.
Hopefully you don't have to be a subscriber to see these pages.
@Wisterious I did my own math based on the total number of votes, and the percent remaining. I also see there was an announcement 2 hours ago by Kathy Boockvar (Sec. of the Commonwealth) that they're down to 550,000, if that helps.
And Biden only trails by 100,000 votes.
So let's be a little conservative and say they're breaking 75% for Biden... that gives him a total of roughly 3,527,000 to Trump's 3,375,000. That's decisive. Even more than I had thought earlier on the current numbers. Even a 70% is still a resounding Biden victory.
@Wisterious I was a math minor in my distant youth.
if Biden can get 50% of the remaining, he'll maintain his lead and take Nevada
Essentially right. It all depends on where the votes are coming in from. The rural counties are less populace but are leaning heavily Trump; but there are more of them. The urban counties are more populace and leaning heavily to Biden; but there are only three or four of them.
@Wisterious A Washington Post editorial made a very good point:
A great many Trump voters know exactly what he's like, and that's exactly why they vote for him. The xenophobia, racism, sexism, abrasiveness, adolescent nicknames and tweeting, insulting anyone who disagrees with him, refusal to accept responsibility, gleeful lying; those aren't bugs, they're features. He gives his followers license to behave the same way, and consider it entertaining. He doesn't challenge them to be better, he dares them to be worse.
We have to ask ourselves how we didn't realize that America has been this awful all along. We liberals fondly imagined that it was just a few rednecks that were that way. It's 48 percent of the nation. And they're actively fighting back against changing for the better.