This short article is a good summary on the flawed nature of nutritional epidemiological research.
A key thing to remember when you see the latest breathless headline about this is good for you, this is bad, so-and-so is a miracle food, etc.: If the claim is made based on NER, it is almost certainly weak at best, and more often than not, wrong.
Instead, ask: Is the claim based on an experiment? Was there a control arm? What is the mechanism that is causing the gain, or harm.
Here is a simple example: Seventh Day Adventists in So. Cal:
-Eat less meat than is common
-Have a 7 year longer lifespan
Breathless headline: Meat is bad!
The SDA's also weigh less, exercise more, have strong social bonds, are not poor, and critically, have very low levels of alcohol, cigarette, and drug use.
Guess what? There is another group that looks just like the SDA's in almost every way including lifespan, except they eat meat!
Breathless headline: Meat is good!
Or not.
This other group is Mormon's in So Cal.
What they eat or don't eat, etc. isn't a concern. My issue with the Mormon's and SDA's I know is their attitude towards black people. One SDA seriously said to me about "them" (meaning black people) "you know they are not as smart as us" (we be white).
That is a big basket of ignorance right there.
This seems more like headline problem and peoples inability dissect information than a research problem.
It is both. The research problem is real. Yes, the masses are innumerate, but it only makes the underlying issue of poor methodology worse.
@Mitch07102 I also think people misunderstand science as something that is supposed to be all knowing and accurate. New information is almost always imperfect, somewhat misinterpreted and sometimes outright wrong.
Also things can be contradictory and true at the same time. Something can be bad and good for you in different ways or situations. Or different for different people. That doesn't make the information any less relevant.
If it is important information it needs to be studied by other people in different ways to learn more. (And also the same way to see if it's replicable).
Excellent points! I had a girlfriend who watched a lot of daytime TV and would run to the drugstore as soon as anybody mentioned a supplement.....making herself a guinea pig, IMO.
When questioned, she relied, "It's Natural"
Well, sweetie, so is cocaine, heroin, asbestos, arsenic, uranium, lead, aaannndd etc. etc