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Will Trump win in 2020?

Has anyone changed their mind about Bernie Sanders, and the America he wants to see in the future, since the last election?

I received many great answers to my last question asking if Americans view Canada as a socialist country.

Many Canadians are just as informed about American politics as we are our own - in some cases, due to vast, sometimes disturbing changes (within the current administration in particular), even more so. Our discussions about Trump are no doubt as frequent as your own, with major concerns about the current state and future of the US, and the impact it will have on the world.

I am a huge fan of Bernie Sanders, who I believe is a solid, honest man with great integrity, regardless of whether one agrees with his ideas. Many of us here would love to see him win 2020, but I understand there is still this fear of socialism, which is not to be confused with social democracy, where social programs are in place to protect all of its citizens - not just the very wealthy few.

My gut told me Trump would become president, from the moment I heard his first speech (much to my chagrin). Now, I can't imagine a second term for Trump - my gut tells me no, which I understand is not based in any reality of the possible outcome. What are your thoughts on this now? Will Trump be reelected? Could Bernie win? All the signs of him running again are there.

Athena 8 June 16
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56 comments (51 - 56)

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My crystal ball says Trump will not be re-elected. Mueller's revelations (and those if the NY and NJ State DAs) are going to bite hard. All Trump's lying and obfuscating and mis-direction of attention will finally be seen for what it is: the desperate attempts of an ignorant and insecure bully to be seen as a winner.

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It is impossible to predict politics this far out, but there are several IFs that augur a possible re-election:

If the stock market stays at high levels
If unemployment stays low
If the economy is perceived as "doing well"
If there is a crisis that rallies the nation around our leaders

People tend to vote for change when they feel threatened. (Look how well MAGA resonated with voters.) If things are going "fine", complacency moderates change.

The November elections will be a signpost on the way the winds are blowing, but it also gives the losing party 2 years to refine their message to be stronger for the 2020 run.

@Jlangston70 Yet, the "we're not Hilary" party worked well for Trump didn't it?

The new middle class taxes and health insurance premiums will be exposed by then. When they all figure out how they were screwed over, they'll revolt.

@GinaMaria I hope so. My fear is that many of the changes are like buried time bombs that will explode in the face of subsequent administrations regardless of political affiliation.

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There will be no election. He will cancel it. Will Americans accept that? Stay tuned.

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Popular vote no electoral college might be a different story we only really know what goes on what the media reports. What goes on behind closed doors could be a different story all depending if the Congress is lead to an idea on how to become more wealthy.

azzow2 Level 9 June 16, 2018
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Here is an opinion worth listening to re Trump.

JB4now Level 5 June 16, 2018
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tRump won't win if I can help it, and although I like a lot of what Bernie proposes, I think it's a bridge too far.

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