A follow up question to my post (based on replies):
Is claiming that the universe is so vast, that aliens must exist, any different from one saying the world is so vast and complex that there must be a god?
I'm not suggesting there is no intelligent life out there, but my loss of religion taught me to say "I don't know" until there is solid evidence. The difference is that science may discover aliens one day (current conspiracy theories aside that the government is keeping dead alien bodies in a refrigerator somewhere).
Sure, it's great to question, but not all astrophysicists agree they exist currently. To say it's naive and ignorant to go with "maybe" versus "absolutely" is... hmm.. an argument from ignorance?
I think there probably are aliens. They could be at different stages of evolution, but I'd have to reason alien life would form just as we did. I cringe at the thought of us being more advanced, though. Maybe they breathe nitrogen or something else. If they are more advanced, then they might treat us as backwards or as a plague planet.
Some article about the endless speculation made me think about the nature of our craving for aliens, which in my opinion is really just a civil substitute for some deity.
Interestingly Giordano Bruno already speculated about the possibility of life existing on other planets in other solar systems.
I posted my question and someone replied to it with a quote from Carl Sagan: UFOism is where religion and science meet.
What I find really intriguing is that many people seem to like the idea of a contact with aliens.Why the hell would they be driven by the same ideas as primates on planet earth? Why would extraterrestrial life even remotely resemble anything we know?
Perhaps collectively we are driven by a weird phenomenon: We fuck up one place and then look for a new pristine we can fuck up, instead of learning from the mistakes and cleaning up the mess.
Some article about the endless speculation made me think about the nature of our craving for aliens, which in my opinion is really just a civil substitute for some deity.
Interestingly Giordano Bruno already speculated about the possibility of life existing on other planet in other solar systems.
I posted my question and someone replied to it with a quote from Carl Sagan: UFOism is where religion and science meet.
Should an alien being that is technologically advanced enough that it can engage in interstellar travel come to this planet would it not be tantamount to a god? There are certainly plenty of theories of exactly that occurring in the distant past, maybe they are true and maybe not but it would take such an arrival to make up my mind.
All I know for sure is that of all the planets we have observed this is the only one that can sustain life like this. Most solar systems have binary stars, two suns, which means tons of radiation. Our core just happens to be dense enough that it creates a magnetic field that protects us, plus we have tons of water here. We are close enough to not be frozen and just far away enough to not be irradiated by the sun. Can life exist under extremes, of course, but I do not believe it can evolve and flourish beyond micro-organisms unless the conditions are right. These super earths you hear about, way too much magnetic pressure on all of them to sustain life like we know it. Maybe in another galaxy, we are the unique planet in this one. Most stars are binary which suggests that we had another star at one point. We have observed them being released as a result of changing magnetism and launched into open space. Anyway, the more we observe the better the chances are of finding life, its out there, just not anywhere near by.
Science Channel
Also, it is theorized that life on this planet began as a result of many asteroids and comets forming the Earth as we see it now, over a very long period of time. In other words we are all aliens, and different biological micro-organisms can change evolution in ways we cannot even begin to theorize.Alien invaders are already among us and we can't see them, lol! I don't see a magical being on another plane of existance setting all this into motion. The universe is expanding at an increasing rate. In about a million years our galaxy ,The Milky Way, will collide perpindicularly to the Andromeda Galaxy, which will be catastrophic to say the least. Also our sun will be close to going nova by then too and will have almost expanded to encapsulate the earth. Hopefully we quit fighting over land and politics long enough to get out here by then!
Scotty beam me up! I've been wishing this for years, but have to settle to sit out in the night and look at the stars and galaxy in amazement. I thought I saw one last weekend but I keep it to myself. You have to stay out all night in cot with a sleeping bag and a hoodie to keep the creatures contained. I was sober the whole time and always am whenever I do this because it is such an amazing feat.
I don't see it follows that a complex universe needs a God. In fact, I believe that the odds of a God existing go down the more complex and large the universe gets... the idea of intelligent design on such a scale is impossible for any fathomable intelligence, it would require so much compute space just to hold the data.
So yes, i think the questions of whether aliens exist or whether God exists are fundamentally very different propositions. The number of alien races increases with the number of habitable planets, the likelihood of God existing goes down with the complexity of the universe.
Yes, they are very different propositions. However, to claim one is absolutely true, despite the lack of evidence, even if one is more likely, still makes them both assertions that have not been proven to date.
Saying "There is reason to believe there is intelligent life on other planets" is one thing. To assert that "there is no reason to believe that there isn't" is another - as many here are claiming.
Likely, maybe? But I don't know and neither does anyone else. Let's keep searching in the meantime, I take issue with the arrogance of people who "know for sure." That's the parallel to "I know a god exists." Whether one is more likely than the other is not the point. You can't know for sure that aliens exist.
..and thank you for your answer.
First off you need to better understand the difference between probability and possibility. It is possible AND probable that alien life exists while it is possible BUT NOT probable that a god exists. So the answer to your first question is no, they are not the same claim.
Questioning everything is great, but not being able to apply critical thought to existing statistical evidence is not a step forward. "I don't know" is a great start, now move on to "more and less likely", that's how you build hypotheses that you can start testing which is how we as a species builds knowledge on a subject.
Step 1: Ask a question
Step 2: Do your research
Step 3: Build a hypothesis
etc.
You're bowing out at Step 1 and claiming that anyone going any further is "an argument from ignorance".
I was asking a question about whether they might both be an argument from ignorance, not making an assertion that they were. Here is an answer I have copied and pasted, to avoid rewriting.
Yes, they are very different propositions. However, to claim one is absolutely true, despite the lack of evidence, even if one is more likely, still makes them both assertions that have not been proven to date.
Saying "There is reason to believe there is intelligent life on other planets" is one thing. To assert that "there is no reason to believe that there isn't" is another - as many here are claiming.
Likely, maybe? But I don't know and neither does anyone else. Let's keep searching in the meantime, I take issue with the arrogance of people who "know for sure." That's the parallel to "I know a god exists." Whether one is more likely than the other is not the point. You can't know for sure that aliens exist.
@Athena Actually the likelihood of existence IS the point you're missing. The likelihood of something existing or not is a very valid line of reasoning that leads to actual knowledge as I've stated above. Also, I answered your question of whether they both come from ignorance when I said "No, they are not the same claim". You don't seem to understand the very principles that make Occam's Razer a reality.
Does alien life exist? The statistical probability that it does is extremely high. (Intelligent life is another matter).
Does god exist? The statistical probability that god exists is extremely low. In addition the fables that claim a god's existence have been proven wrong time and again while a real human need to create a god regardless of existence has psychological bearing.
I'm not saying I know god exists and I'm not saying I know alien life exists. However the truth of both answers proves my knowledge on the subject irrelevant. Alien life either exists or not regardless of my knowing it, and the same with gods.
So I can absolutely with confidence say that alien life DOES exist, because I'm not foolish enough to think that a 99.9% repeating chance isn't reality. I don't know that it exists, but as I've already said my knowledge on it is irrelevant. The same exact thing goes for the non-existence of god, because the .00(repeating)1% chance that one does exist is that same reality, and my knowing that one doesn't exist is just as irrelevant.
So it's not the same argument, and it's not arrogance. It would be arrogant to think that my belief or knowledge on a topic has any bearing at all on its reality. If you believe that 99.9% and .001% are the same, I'd love to play poker with you one day.
@Athena Yeah I'm not sensitive just because I wrote a lengthy reply explaining my stance. However you may want to look in the mirror when your reply is limited to two lines of "your opinion" and "you're sensitive". It may make you feel better but it's not winning your debate. If you have anything useful to reply feel free, if you're stumped then I had a nice chat.
@Athena Thanks, buuuut...
use·ful - ˈyo͞osfəl
(adjective)
able to be used for a practical purpose or in several ways.
@mattersauce
Why so angry?
Aw... Warm Canadian hug.
@mattersauce
??
@mattersauce
I'm not sure what your issue is with me and why you're being so aggressive and combative. Please take your focus off me and move on.
@Athena I'm really not sure why you think I'm aggressive or angry or have any feelings regarding you. I don't mean to be rude here but I don't know you. I made points about the topic at hand as I disagreed with you, you replied to my comment on your post, I replied to that, and then it started getting weird. It looks to me like you got defensive and started claiming I'm "allowed to be sensitive" which is a pretty passive aggressive insult. That's when I added some snark but it really wasn't that bad but I'll admit it, you can read all MY comments above. After that is when you deleted some of your replies which I still don't get and now you're acting as if I'm stalking you online.
If you don't want to continue this conversation, simply don't reply, problem solved. But I'll be honest, I really don't appreciate the way you've conducted yourself in this discussion and I'm not about to let you end this with another claim that my intentions are anything other than a reply that you don't seem to agree with, fine by me we can go our separate ways. This is nothing more than an online discussion with opposing view points but you seem to think we're at each others throats. It seems to me like you can't handle someone disagreeing with you.
Believing aliens may exist is a matter of probability based on logical reasoning and what we already know about the universe. Believing gods may exist is like believing that invisible telepathic purple unicorns that fart rainbows and sunshine exist. Yeah, I can't prove that they don't, but there's nothing to suggest they do, and it sounds so completely ridiculous based on what we already know about the universe, that why would I even waste any time or energy believing in something like that? Much less, worshiping it.
If there was really some omnipotent, omnipresent, conscious, creator being out there, don't you think it'd want to make its presence and demands a little more well known and clear? Instead of letting a thousand different cultures on our planet make up a bunch of half-assed and mostly contradictory stories and rules to fight with each other over? Doesn't make sense to me.
I totally agree!
It comes down to this. I can't prove a god exists, nor can I prove that one does not. Based on my own logic and reason, I find it hard to believe one does.
I can't prove that intelligent life beyond this planet exists, nor can I prove that it does not. Science tells us it is likely (although not all astrophysicists agree) and I think it's possible.
More likely, or probable or not, no one knows for certain. To say it's likely doesn't suggest it "is."
I think these are questions worth asking. It's also been interesting how many nerves have been plucked here as a result. I have no problem saying "I don't know." It was the start of something great for me in losing my religion. Now I'm so happy to wait for evidence - it's truly liberating.
Well put. We could listen to different arguments for and against all day long, including the various examples based on the likely number of potentially habitable planets in the universe or the rare earth hypothesis I outlined in my reply to your original post... but the truth is, assuming the conspiracy theorists are incorrect and the US Government/Mossad/Freemasons/etc. haven't in fact got the Grays' email address, nobody knows.
I don't think the alien vs god question can be considered equivalent questions. As for aliens the presumption is another living creature on another planet and as we know thanks to science there are many planets out there so figuring the odds on that is possible. Now as for gods that would require a plane of existence not known to man and not quantifiable. The god theory requires something outside of the known universe while the alien theory doesnt. You do make a great point but in my opinion those two questions are like comparing apples to the ghosts of an orange lol
Yes, I wonder if it's just modern day speculation, however, as we don't know for sure, after all. The science isn't confirming it.
My point is that those who find it ignorant not to assume they exist for certain are judging unfairly.
Some of the smartest people I admire (Matt Dillahunty, Sam Harris) say no, until there is more evidence. Right now, it's not being proved or disproved - just like God... Fair? So until we know, why believe it?
I believe it's significantly more likely that alien life exists, than a god, but I can't prove either, either way.
No, it has everything to do with logic. There is no apparent reason to believe in God, but there is one obviously apparent reason to believe aliens could exist on other worlds: the fact that we exist on this one. You would need a more religious basis to believe no aliens exist anywhere else in the universe than believe that they probably exist somewhere.
@TheMiddleWay First, we are not talking about two, we are talking about possibly trillions. No one said in every case; only one case out of those trillions would suffice to make my point. We argued about this before, and I found your so called logic not to be very logical at all..
Yes, it is. One claim is based on the best insight science (which is to say, mathematics) can give us given what we know today. That is different that a faith based claim.
A belief is simply that. can't prove it and can't disprove it. I think there's a bloody good chance in life forms millions of light years away.
I would agree that, in the absence of compelling scientific evidence, the default and most reasonable position would be I don’t know and I lack that belief right now.
However, alien life is different from the god belief in that aliens would be still fall within a scientific worldview as they would be another result of biological evolution in a different environment. Most god claims immediately put “god” outside the realm of science, and if you believe that science is the only good way to know the universe, then it’s hard to say that it’s “possible” in any practical sense.
Now if we grant that it’s possible we are wrong about science being the only game in town, then all bets are off, but I don’t think that’s very likely.
I don't know that they do/donot exist. The everyone leads me to belive that it is absolutely plausible that there is some sort of life form out there.
Excellent fallow up. It caused me to rethink and reevaluate my previous responses to these types of questions. Thank you.